GREEN DRAGON EMAIL: 'Bleak outlook'

Monday 23 March 2009, 1249 GMT

Green Dragon - Ian Walker (Skipper)

Bleak outlook

3 days ago we had a pretty solid ETA in Rio of the 25th March (2 days time). We had a fast route according to the weather models. Next the wind heads too much to lay the Falklands and we lose precious hours having to tack through the islands. Following this a high pressure bubbles up right in our path and just behind that of the leaders. Negotiating this cost us a day. Still things were OK as we sailed upwind looking for North Westerly's and a new low coming off the South American shore. This arrived last night as predicted but instead of bringing 15 knot winds and a route through the next high pressure it brought lightning and no wind. Now we are left with virtually no wind and none forecast for 3 days. We also have adverse current. We have 1000 miles to go and my most optimistic outlook right now is an ETA of 6 days.

At times like this the race becomes secondary to survival. The fundamentals of our life aboard are power to make water and run the boats systems and food. We have been closely monitoring our power consumption and diesel reserves (the batteries are charged off the generator which runs on diesel) and we are confident this will not be an issue. To make sure we will consciously save power by closing down non essential systems.

As for food the picture is not so good. We started with 40 days and a week ago we split some food packs down to make another 2 days of food rations. This would give us 42 or another 3 days from now. We may well need at least 7 days and 3 into 7 don't go. When guys are tired and hungry there is nothing like food to create friction between them. As of today to prevent any arguments over who has eaten what, we are splitting the food 11 ways and leaving each individual to manage their own food. We are already hungry and it will get worse - simple as that. That is life - nobody is going to die.

On a brighter note we are currently moving at 6 knots pointing nearly at Rio which is the best VMC we have made for 12 hours and it is a beautiful sunny day. What more could you ask for?

Received 1249 GMT